Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.297948 8.569742 9.965780 11.607633 13.481213 15.547941 17.995515
2025-12-28 5.394699 7.163648 9.314308 12.099748 15.587637 19.784667 25.188122
2026-01-04 4.234227 6.207431 8.808757 12.438753 17.314180 23.569533 32.124140
2026-01-11 3.375841 5.392797 8.242788 12.476838 18.501552 26.643409 38.326688
2026-01-18 2.762435 4.767082 7.779747 12.507153 19.576034 29.558352 44.470545
2026-01-25 2.223309 4.131288 7.171114 12.190955 20.047500 31.593844 49.476741
2026-02-01 1.810293 3.609589 6.638569 11.883552 20.443226 33.486289 54.352670
2026-02-08 1.452566 3.106948 6.047254 11.378908 20.436422 34.720058 58.278168
2026-02-15 1.185158 2.712889 5.572650 10.988777 20.540614 36.088475 62.456567
2026-02-22 1.059067 2.568220 5.519364 11.314623 21.854981 39.461171 70.002106
2026-03-01 0.953688 2.444500 5.483653 11.658919 23.218372 42.994876 78.021451
2026-03-08 0.794335 2.169474 5.108329 11.312924 23.304853 44.370424 82.540035
2026-03-15 0.649070 1.904517 4.732932 10.962309 23.430463 45.968375 87.819216
2026-03-22 0.591378 1.841844 4.784024 11.490729 25.297541 50.832321 99.179598
2026-03-29 0.527050 1.746285 4.745872 11.826893 26.823941 55.201824 109.982570
2026-04-05 0.454070 1.607381 4.581919 11.865708 27.753015 58.531933 119.136797
2026-04-12 0.391890 1.481537 4.425345 11.895185 28.657000 61.869981 128.511789
2026-04-19 0.324446 1.318655 4.143793 11.592665 28.820777 63.781768 135.336632
2026-04-26 0.268774 1.175082 3.883300 11.298529 28.962266 65.644442 142.169228
2026-05-03 0.216254 1.023094 3.567105 10.815732 28.623228 66.500272 147.089092
2026-05-10 0.176269 0.901405 3.310469 10.442570 28.485923 67.743497 152.830090
2026-05-17 0.160197 0.868157 3.312522 10.754239 29.985330 72.514186 165.920676
2026-05-24 0.146192 0.838673 3.320768 11.083609 31.556864 77.540439 179.812266